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J Res Health Sci. 2023;23(1): e00573.
doi: 10.34172/jrhs.2023.108
PMID: 37571944
PMCID: PMC10422147
Scopus ID: 85153934245
  Abstract View: 504
  PDF Download: 272
  Full Text View: 191

Original Article

Trend Analysis of Homicide Mortality and Years of Life Lost in the South of Iran, 2004-2019

Habibollah Azarbakhsh, Jafar Hassanzadeh, Seyed Sina Dehghani, Maryam Janfada, Mohammad Hossein Sharifi, Alireza Mirahmadizadeh*
*Corresponding Author: Email: mirahmadia@sums.ac.ir

Abstract

Background: This study was conducted to determine the mortality rate and years of life lost (YLL) due to homicide in Fars province.

Study Design: This was a cross-sectional study.

Methods: All data related to deaths due to homicide in Fars province were obtained from the Populationbased Electronic Death Registration System. Crude and age-standardized mortality rate, YLL, and YLL rate data were calculated and joinpoint regression was used to examine the trend.

Results: During 2004-2019, 2148 deaths due to homicide occurred in Fars province, and (1782 cases (83.0%) were men. The crude mortality rate in men decreased by 44.0% from 2004 to 2019, but a stable trend was observed in women. The total YLL due to homicide during these 16 years was 43230 (1.37 per 1000 people) in men and 8931 (0.29 per 1000 people) in women. According to the joinpoint regression analysis, the 16-year trend of the YLL rate due to premature mortality in men was decreasing, and the annual percent change (APC) was -4.00% (95% confidence interval [CI]: -6.60 to -1.20, P=0.008). However, women demonstrated stable trends in this respect, and APC was -0.50% (95% CI: -3.10 to 2.20, P=0.704).

Conclusion: The crude and standardized mortality rates and the number of YLL due to homicide in the study period had a significant decreasing trend in men but a stable trend in women. To control this issue, officials and policymakers should identify the areas of homicide and control its risk factors such as economic and social issues, drug addiction, and the state of violence.

 

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Submitted: 13 Nov 2022
Revision: 08 Apr 2023
ePublished: 08 Apr 2023
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