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J Res Health Sci. Inpress.
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Original Article

The Changes in The Trends of Tuberculosis-Related Indicators in Hamadan Province Using the Join Point Regression Approach During the Years 2011 to 2022

Faezeh Ghasemi ORCID logo, Jalal Poorolajal, Salman Khazaei ORCID logo, Ali Zahiri, Fatemeh Torkaman Asadi* ORCID logo
*Corresponding Author: Email: dr.torkamanasadi@yahoo.com

Abstract

Background: This study was conducted to investigate the trend of some Tuberculosis (TB) indices and identify existing gaps in addressing this important public health issue in Hamadan province during a long time period.

Study design: A registry-based cross-sectional study.

Methods: In this study we examined the trend of ten TB indicators separately for males and females, including the incidence rates of smear-positive pulmonary TB (SPPT), extra-pulmonary TB (EPT), and smear-negative pulmonary TB (SNPT); co-infection with AIDS; relapse rate; smear conversion rate two months after treatment initiation; TB mortality rate; diagnosis rate of pulmonary TB with 3+ smears; treatment success rate; and TB diagnosis rate by the private sector in Hamadan province during the 2011-2022-time period. The trend analysis of TB was conducted using Joinpoint regression model which outputs the Annual Percentage Change (APC) and the Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC).

Results: A total of 481 females and 554 males were eligible for analysis. The incidence of smear-positive pulmonary TB in females showed a decreasing trend (AAPC: -7.72; 95% CI: -15.63, -1.10; P=0.008). The rates of extra-pulmonary tuberculosis and treatment success showed a significant downward trend for both genders. In contrast, the recurrence rate among females exhibited a notable upward trend during the specified time period (AAPC: 18.45; 95% CI: 3.23, 46.47; P=0.0002).

Conclusion: The findings of this study suggest that the epidemiological profile of tuberculosis has exhibited a relatively favorable trend in several of the examined indicators since 2011, with observed declines in both smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis and extra-pulmonary tuberculosis.

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Submitted: 14 Jul 2024
Revision: 21 Aug 2024
Accepted: 28 Aug 2024
ePublished: 13 Nov 2024
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